How Much Is Avenue of Poplars near Moret‑sur‑Loing Worth?

$1,000,000–$4,500,000

Last updated: March 16, 2026

Quick Facts

Methodology
comparable analysis

For a privately held, well‑provenanced oil of this composition and size by Alfred Sisley (circa 60–82 cm across), a realistic auction estimate is US$1,000,000–US$4,500,000. This range is anchored by a near‑identical Moret poplars view sold at Christie’s New York in 2018 (US$4.21M) and bounded by Sisley’s established market ceiling and more typical mid‑market results.

Avenue of Poplars near Moret‑sur‑Loing

Avenue of Poplars near Moret‑sur‑Loing

Alfred Sisley, 1890 • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of Avenue of Poplars near Moret‑sur‑Loing

Valuation Analysis

Conclusion and scope: This valuation represents an auction market estimate for a privately held oil of 'Avenue of Poplars near Moret‑sur‑Loing' by Alfred Sisley of a size and execution comparable to the Musée d’Orsay example (c. 62 × 81 cm). The Musée d’Orsay holds a closely related 1890 canvas (inv. MNR 643) that is in public collection and not available to the market — the Orsay/MNR status should be noted when discussing provenance or attribution questions [1].

Method and anchors: I used a comparables‑based approach, giving primary weight to near‑identical Moret poplar views of late Sisley (similar date and dimensions). The principal market anchor is a Moret poplars canvas sold at Christie’s New York (The Rockefeller sale) on 8 May 2018 for US$4,212,500; that lot is the closest direct match by subject and size and therefore sets the upper middle of the practical market band [2]. I also considered Sisley’s auction ceiling (Sotheby’s London, Effet de neige à Louveciennes, 2017 — ~US$9.06M) and a strong late‑period Moret result at Christie’s London in 2025 (~US$2.59M) to define the ceiling and mid‑market evidence respectively [3][4]. Market tone and inflation adjustments inform the top of the band but do not alone justify exceeding documented trophy levels.

Drivers and treatment: Key value drivers are size, condition, signature and technical integrity, and clean, well‑documented provenance (including catalogue raisonné/collaborator attestations). Exhibition and bibliography materially increase price. Conversely, any outstanding restitution questions, wartime acquisition gaps, heavy restoration or uncertain attribution materially reduce marketability and can push a result well below the lower bound. The Musée d’Orsay / MNR provenance notes (recovery/return post‑WWII) and recorded theft/recovery incidents are important provenance facts but pertain to the museum object specifically — a private comparable with clean, long‑form provenance will command a premium over works with gaps [1][5].

Practical positioning: For sale, the best commercial outcome is achieved by evening sale placement in London/New York/Paris with a strong pre‑sale catalogue entry, technical report, and if possible a recent exhibition or bibliography citation. In the absence of that institutional history, the lot is likely to trade in the mid six‑figure to low seven‑figure band. Exceptional documented examples (rare provenance, exhibition history, exceptional condition) can approach or exceed the upper estimate; the absolute trophy ceiling remains defined by record Sisley sales [2][3].

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

High Impact

Alfred Sisley’s Moret period (late 1880s–1890s) is a core part of his late oeuvre; the avenues of poplars and Loing river scenes are recurring motifs that testify to his mature handling of light, atmosphere and composition. While individual poplar‑avenue canvases are not singular canonical breakthroughs on the scale of a single, career‑defining masterpiece, they are well regarded by specialists and collectors of late Sisley. A well‑executed Moret poplar painting with convincing authorship and good condition is therefore of high art‑historical relevance within Sisley’s output and attracts consistent collector interest, especially when illustrated or exhibited.

Provenance and Legal Status

High Impact

Provenance clarity is decisive. The Musée d'Orsay example is recorded in the MNR (recovered/entrusted post‑WWII), a provenance circumstance that requires careful legal and archival handling for any dispersal or reproduction [1][5]. For a private comparable, uninterrupted, documented ownership back multiple decades (and any Comité Sisley attestation/catalogue raisonné entry) materially increases saleability and price. Conversely, wartime gaps, contested ownership or unresolved restitution matters can depress value sharply and may render a work unsalable in top venues until resolved.

Condition and Conservation

High Impact

Physical condition is one of the most immediate price determinants. Original paint integrity, clean varnish, minimal inpainting, stable canvas/ground and absence of invasive restorations preserve market value; lining, heavy overpaint or significant paint loss will reduce buyer confidence and bidding depth. Technical reports (X‑ray/IR) demonstrating original composition and limited restoration substantially support higher estimates. Condition nuances can move a work across valuation bands by hundreds of thousands of dollars for mid‑to‑large Sisleys.

Comparable Auction Results

High Impact

Recent auction outcomes provide the numerical anchors for this valuation. A near‑identical Moret poplars canvas sold at Christie’s New York in 2018 for US$4.21M — the clearest direct comparable for a 60–75 cm poplar avenue view and the principal market anchor [2]. Sisley’s auction record (Sotheby’s London, 2017) establishes an upper trophy ceiling (~US$9.06M) for exceptionally documented works [3]. Mid‑market late‑Moret results from 2023–2025 around $2–3M show continued selective demand, which supports the $1.0M–$4.5M practical band used here [4].

Exhibition & Bibliographic History

Medium Impact

Inclusion in major exhibitions, published catalogues and the catalogue raisonné substantially improves visibility and buyer confidence and typically adds a premium. Works with a long exhibition history or illustration in standard monographs or exhibition catalogues will rise toward the upper bound; conversely, an otherwise fine canvas with no exhibition or bibliography record will be judged more conservatively. Preparatory exhibition loans and clear catalogue citations tangibly expand the buyer pool (institutions, museums, and deep‑pocketed private collectors).

Sale History

Price unknownMay 8, 2018

Christie's New York (The Rockefeller Sale)

Price unknownMarch 1, 2017

Sotheby's London (Evening Sale)

Price unknownOctober 15, 2025

Christie's London

Alfred Sisley's Market

Alfred Sisley is a respected core Impressionist whose market sits below Monet and Renoir in depth but remains steady and collectible. His auction record is in the low tens of millions (Sotheby’s London, 2017, ~US$9.06M) and top late‑career Seine/Moret scenes can realize multiple millions when quality, provenance and exhibition history align. Most commercially available Sisleys trade in the mid‑six‑figure to low‑seven‑figure range; museum‑quality trophies remain rare and command disproportionate attention.

Comparable Sales

Les peupliers à Moret‑sur‑Loing, après‑midi d'août (1888)

Alfred Sisley

Nearly identical subject (Moret poplars), very similar date and size (~60 × 73 cm) — a direct anchor for market value of Moret/poplar views.

$4.2M

2018, Christie's New York (The Rockefeller Sale)

~$5.1M adjusted

Effet de neige à Louveciennes (1874)

Alfred Sisley

Artist record sale — different subject (snow scene) but establishes Sisley's upper market ceiling and buyer willingness for top‑quality works.

$9.1M

2017, Sotheby's London (Evening Sale)

~$11.5M adjusted

Le pont de Moret‑sur‑Loing en été (1888)

Alfred Sisley

Same Moret locale and late‑period subject matter; smaller/mid‑evening‑sale result showing demand for Moret views in the 2023–25 market.

$2.6M

2025, Christie's London

Current Market Trends

Since 2023 the Impressionist market has been more selective: buyers concentrate on well‑provenanced, museum‑quality works while mid‑tier lots face price compression. Top trophies still attract competitive bidding when presented with impeccable provenance and catalogue support. Timing, venue (evening sale), and strong pre‑sale marketing remain essential to achieving top estimates.

Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.