How Much Is Morning on the Seine (series) Worth?

$20-35 million

Last updated: February 2, 2026

Quick Facts

Last Sale
$18.5M (2024, Christie's London)
Methodology
comparable analysis

Based on recent, same-series auction results and Monet’s broader market, a strong Morning on the Seine canvas would be expected to bring $20–35 million in today’s marquee evening-sale context. Exceptional, particularly luminous examples with prime provenance could test above this range, while the Met’s painting remains off-market and any figure is hypothetical.

Morning on the Seine (series)

Morning on the Seine (series)

Claude Monet, 1897 • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of Morning on the Seine (series)

Valuation Analysis

Final estimate: $20–35 million for a strong, market-ready canvas from Claude Monet’s Morning on the Seine (1896–97) series. This range synthesizes recent, directly comparable sales, the series’ standing within Monet’s oeuvre, and current demand for blue-chip Impressionist pictures.

Art-historically, Morning on the Seine is a tightly conceived serial project of dawn views painted near Giverny in 1896–97 and exhibited in 1898, often cited as a conceptual bridge to the Water Lilies. Christie’s places the series at roughly 22 canvases, with 15 shown together in 1898, underscoring the programmatic intent and relative scarcity of top-quality examples [1]. The Metropolitan Museum’s Morning on the Seine near Giverny (1897) is a representative museum-held exemplar and confirms the period and exhibition history of the campaign [4].

Recent, same-series auction evidence is consistent and clear. In March 2024, Christie’s London sold Matinée sur la Seine, temps net (1897) for approximately $18.5 million (premium) [1]. Sotheby’s New York achieved $20.55 million in May 2018 for a 1896 Morning on the Seine [2], and Christie’s New York realized $23.375 million in November 2017 for another 1897 example [3]. These results cluster from the high teens to low/mid $20 millions and anchor today’s mid-eight-figure expectation for solid, typical works from the series.

Cross-series anchors help set the upper bound. Monet’s Poplars reached $42.96 million in May 2025, establishing a robust marker for late 19th-century serial subjects [6]; meanwhile, Haystacks remains the artist’s record category with the $110.7 million Meules (2019) and a fresh $34.8 million result in 2024 for Meules à Giverny, underscoring the premium paid for the most iconic motifs [5][7]. This gap explains why the absolute ceiling for Morning on the Seine today likely resides in the low-to-mid $30 millions for particularly luminous, exhibition-provenanced examples in pristine condition.

Within the series, palette and atmosphere drive price dispersion. Canvases with radiant rose, gold, and high-key dawn effects compete for broader collector demand versus cooler, mist-forward variants. Provenance and exhibition history (e.g., Durand-Ruel lineage, inclusion in the 1898 presentation, significant museum loans) add measurable premiums, as do fresh-to-market status and comprehensive literature citations. Condition is critical: unlined or well-preserved surfaces with intact impasto and original color balance outperform restored or flattened examples. Sale venue, estimate strategy, and the presence of guarantees/irrevocable bids will also influence outcomes at the margin.

The Met’s painting is not for sale; any figure is strictly hypothetical. Nonetheless, the $20–35 million range represents a realistic current auction expectation for a strong Morning on the Seine canvas of similar date, size, and quality, with exceptional outliers potentially stretching above in optimal circumstances [1][2][3].

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

High Impact

Painted in 1896–97 and exhibited in 1898, Morning on the Seine is a pivotal late‑1890s serial investigation of dawn light and atmosphere that anticipates Monet’s grand Water Lilies. The project’s rigor—multiple canvases painted from a fixed motif at different moments—cements its importance in the artist’s evolution from perceptual observation to immersive, near‑abstract surface effects. While not as culturally iconic to the general public as Haystacks or Rouen Cathedral, the series is deeply valued by scholars and connoisseurs as a conceptual bridge to the Nymphéas. This dual status—historically essential yet slightly less headline‑driven—supports strong eight‑figure valuations while keeping the series priced below Monet’s most universally recognized subjects.

Palette and Aesthetic Quality

High Impact

Within Morning on the Seine, palette and atmospheric tenor materially affect price. Works with luminous rose‑gold dawns, crisp reflections, and higher chroma command broader demand than cooler, mist‑dominant canvases with a narrower tonal range. Collectors prize canvases that balance serenity with pictorial drama—legible horizon lines, elegant tree silhouettes, and softly scintillating water surfaces. Brushwork vitality and intact impasto also matter: lively, unflattened passages that register the artist’s touch elevate desirability. These qualitative distinctions explain why recent results cluster but still vary notably, and they underpin the top‑of‑range potential for especially radiant, exhibition‑caliber examples in excellent condition.

Provenance and Exhibition History

Medium Impact

Direct Durand‑Ruel provenance, inclusion in the 1898 “Matinées sur la Seine” presentation, museum exhibition history, and robust literature citations all add premiums. Works that are fresh to market after decades in a distinguished private collection tend to outperform, as do paintings associated with notable owners or featured in monographic or landmark Impressionist surveys. Conversely, gaps in provenance, limited literature, or a dense recent sale history can cap bidding enthusiasm. For Morning on the Seine, where many top examples reside in museums, a compelling, well‑documented private‑collection canvas stands out and can attract multiple bidders, improving the probability of a result toward the upper end of the range.

Condition, Scale, and Surface

Medium Impact

Surface preservation is critical for late‑19th‑century Monets. Original, unabraded paint and intact surface topography (impasto, scumbles) enhance depth and light effects; aggressive cleanings, heavy varnish, lining, or flattening depress prices. Standard, medium‑scale horizontal formats from the series are highly liquid; materially smaller or atypical formats can trade at discounts. Old, stable restorations are acceptable, but visible retouching or structural issues are penalized in today’s condition‑sensitive market. A well‑preserved, typical‑format Morning on the Seine with attractive color will reliably clear the low‑to‑mid eight figures; compromised surfaces or awkward formats skew toward the lower teens or fail to meet ambitious estimates.

Sale History

$18.5MMarch 7, 2024

Christie's London

Matinée sur la Seine, temps net (1897); estimate £12–18m; price incl. premium; evening sale; fresh to market since 1978.

$20.6MMay 14, 2018

Sotheby's New York

Matinée sur la Seine (1896); estimate $18–25m; price incl. premium; Impressionist & Modern Evening Sale.

$23.4MNovember 13, 2017

Christie's New York

Matinée sur la Seine (1897); price incl. premium; Impressionist & Modern Art Evening Sale.

$5.7MNovember 9, 2000

Sotheby's New York

Matinée sur la Seine; price incl. premium; long-term series benchmark.

Claude Monet's Market

Claude Monet is a foundational, blue‑chip pillar of the Impressionist market with deep global collector demand and unrivaled institutional validation. His auction record stands at $110.7 million for Meules (Haystacks) set in 2019, and multiple Water Lilies and top serial motifs routinely command $40–70 million in strong seasons. Recent marquee sales underscore selective strength at the top end and steady liquidity in the mid‑to‑high eight figures for quality works. Asian participation and guarantees continue to support bidding for trophy‑level Monets. While market appetite ebbs and flows with supply and macro conditions, Monet remains a flight‑to‑quality destination, and prime works consistently attract multiple serious bidders.

Comparable Sales

Matinée sur la Seine, temps net (1897)

Claude Monet

Same series (1896–97), closely comparable subject and campaign; most recent public sale of a Morning on the Seine canvas in an evening sale context.

$18.5M

2024, Christie's London

~$18.9M adjusted

Matinée sur la Seine (1896)

Claude Monet

Same series and typical size/date; strong like‑for‑like comp showing demand in a New York marquee evening sale.

$20.6M

2018, Sotheby's New York

~$26.1M adjusted

Matinée sur la Seine (1897)

Claude Monet

Same series and campaign; another prime evening‑sale benchmark establishing the series’ recent high end.

$23.4M

2017, Christie's New York

~$30.4M adjusted

Peupliers au bord de l’Epte, crépuscule (1891)

Claude Monet

Same artist and serial practice; closely related riverside motif from an earlier iconic series. Serves as an upper‑range market anchor for late‑19th‑century Monet series paintings.

$43.0M

2025, Christie's New York

Meules à Giverny (1893)

Claude Monet

Same artist and late‑19th‑century serial approach; Haystacks is a more iconically valued subject, helpful for bracketing an upper bound versus Morning on the Seine.

$34.8M

2024, Sotheby's New York

~$35.5M adjusted

Current Market Trends

After a thinner 2024 with fewer $10m+ lots, the top end rebounded selectively in 2025 as blue‑chip Modern and Impressionist pictures led marquee sales. Auction houses relied on guarantees and irrevocable bids, and buyers favored quality, condition, and fresh‑to‑market material. Within Monet’s oeuvre, late Water Lilies and iconic serial motifs (Haystacks, Rouen, Poplars) set the highest benchmarks; series like Morning on the Seine remain highly liquid in the mid‑eight figures, with premiums for luminous palettes and strong provenance. Expect continued competition for A‑material in 2026, with pricing sensitive to subject, palette, and sale context.

Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.