How Much Is In the Loge Worth?

$20–35 million

Last updated: January 31, 2026

Quick Facts

Last Sale
$2K (1910, Frank W. Bayley, Boston (dealer))
Insurance Value
$42.0M (Suggested replacement value at ~20% above FMV high (internal estimate))
Methodology
extrapolation

In the Loge (1878) is a canonical Mary Cassatt oil in the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston—an iconic theater scene from her breakthrough Impressionist years. Using the artist’s 2022 record for a closely related loge subject on paper and peer benchmarks for women Impressionists, we extrapolate a fair-market range of $20–35 million, assuming excellent condition and an open-market sale. Such a result would decisively set a new auction record for Cassatt.

In the Loge

In the Loge

Mary Cassatt, 1878 • Oil on canvas

Read full analysis of In the Loge

Valuation Analysis

Work and significance. In the Loge (1878) is among Mary Cassatt’s most cited and reproduced paintings and a cornerstone of her early Impressionist period. It crystallizes her pioneering focus on modern women in public spaces and the dynamics of looking within Parisian theater culture. The painting is oil on canvas and is held by the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston, where it entered the collection in 1910 after passing through Durand-Ruel and Boston dealer Frank W. Bayley [1].

Method and key comparables. Because this picture has no modern auction history, we anchor the estimate to Cassatt’s current auction peak: Young Lady in a Loge, Gazing to Right (c. 1878–79), a closely related theater subject on paper that realized $7.489 million at Christie’s (Ann & Gordon Getty Collection) in 2022—a record for the artist [2]. As a masterwork oil from the same seminal motif, In the Loge justifiably commands a substantial multiple of that works-on-paper ceiling. Scarcity underpins the premium: first-rate, early Cassatt oils—especially the theater series—are overwhelmingly in institutions.

Category headroom and peer signals. Peer benchmarks indicate eight-figure capacity for museum-caliber paintings by women Impressionists; for example, Berthe Morisot’s Après le déjeuner achieved roughly $11 million in 2013, underscoring deep demand for canonical images in this cohort [4]. That result, coupled with Cassatt’s 2022 loge record on paper, supports extrapolating upward for a top-condition, signature Cassatt oil.

Market context. The Impressionist/Post‑Impressionist segment has been selective in 2024–25, with auction values down even as lot volumes rose, signaling a “two-speed” market where truly great works still spark fierce competition while middling material softens [3]. In that environment, unmistakable trophies tend to outperform category averages. Recent scholarship and exhibitions—such as Mary Cassatt at Work (Philadelphia Museum of Art, 2024, traveling to San Francisco 2024–25)—have further amplified the artist’s relevance and technical rigor, adding institutional tailwinds for best-in-class examples [5].

Conclusion. Balancing these factors, we estimate fair-market value at $20–35 million for In the Loge, assuming excellent condition and an unrestricted, well-marketed sale. This would decisively reset Cassatt’s auction record and reflect the masterpiece premium, extreme scarcity of comparable oils, and cross-category demand for iconic works by women Impressionists. For insurance/replacement scheduling, institutions often set values above fair-market; a notional replacement figure at ~20% above the high estimate would be prudent.

Key Valuation Factors

Art Historical Significance

High Impact

Painted in 1878, In the Loge encapsulates Cassatt’s breakthrough contribution to Impressionism: the portrayal of modern women as active observers and participants in public life. The theater/loge motif is foundational in Cassatt’s oeuvre, and this image is a touchstone in scholarship on gender, spectatorship, and modernity. Its early date, fully realized composition, and canonical status within museum and academic contexts confer an exceptional “masterpiece premium.” Among Cassatt’s subjects, the theater series is arguably the most recognized and culturally resonant. This is not merely a strong example; it is one of the defining images by the artist, which positions the work at the top of her value curve and makes it a likely record-setter if ever offered.

Rarity and Supply

High Impact

First-rate Cassatt oils—especially from the 1878–79 theater series—are extraordinarily scarce in private hands. Many key works reside in major museums, sharply limiting opportunities for collectors to acquire a painting of this caliber. Scarcity in the very best tier often yields outsized auction results when a canonical work appears, as bidders compete across collecting categories (Impressionism, American art, masterpieces by women artists). Because works on paper are more prevalent in Cassatt’s market, the few truly great oils can trade at substantial multiples of the artist’s typical prices. In the Loge’s combination of medium, date, and subject places it in an ultra-thin supply class where competitive tension is structurally high.

Provenance, Exhibition, and Literature

High Impact

The painting’s chain of ownership—artist; important dealers (including Durand-Ruel); and its acquisition by the MFA, Boston in 1910—supports unimpeachable authenticity and historical importance. Its longstanding museum stewardship, frequent reproduction, and centrality in Cassatt scholarship significantly enhance market confidence. Works with deep exhibition and publication histories are easier to promote globally and tend to galvanize broader bidder pools. While museums rarely deaccession icons of this stature, a hypothetical sale would benefit from the work’s distinguished provenance and visibility. Provided condition is excellent with a clean, legible surface, these factors should translate into aggressive competition and a pricing outcome well above the artist’s prior auction benchmarks.

Market Comparables and Cross-Category Demand

Medium Impact

Cassatt’s auction record—$7.489 million for a closely related 1878–79 loge subject on paper (2022)—establishes a high watermark for the motif and demonstrates demand intensity for this theme. Peer signals show capacity for eight-figure outcomes for masterpieces by women Impressionists (e.g., Berthe Morisot’s top results), reinforcing bidders’ willingness to pay for canonical images. Although broader Impressionist/Post‑Impressionist totals softened in 2024–25, the market remains “two-speed,” with trophy works outperforming averages. Given In the Loge’s status and scarcity, its buyer base would likely extend beyond dedicated Cassatt collectors to institutions and cross-category connoisseurs, supporting a substantial extrapolation above Cassatt’s historical sales.

Sale History

$2KFebruary 17, 1910

Frank W. Bayley, Boston (dealer sale to MFA, Boston)

Sold to the Museum of Fine Arts, Boston (The Hayden Collection—Charles Henry Hayden Fund)

Mary Cassatt's Market

Mary Cassatt is a blue-chip Impressionist with deep institutional esteem and a broad collector base, but her market is bifurcated by medium: prints and pastels are common, whereas high-quality oils are scarce. The artist’s current auction record is $7.489 million (Christie’s, 2022) for a loge subject on paper—evidence that the theater motif resonates strongly with buyers. Typical pastels trade from the high five to mid-six figures, with standout sheets exceeding $1 million; mid-level oils can struggle if estimates are ambitious. By contrast, exceptional, early oils with top provenance have the best chance to reset the price curve. A museum-caliber oil from 1878–79 would attract cross-category competition and plausibly establish a new artist record.

Comparable Sales

Young Lady in a Loge, Gazing to Right

Mary Cassatt

Same artist and near-identical 1878–79 theater loge motif; direct subject and period match, albeit a work on paper rather than oil.

$7.5M

2022, Christie's New York

~$8.1M adjusted

Children Playing with a Dog

Mary Cassatt

Same artist and medium (oil on canvas); a strong late-career oil that serves as a modern benchmark for Cassatt oils at auction.

$4.8M

2018, Christie's New York

~$6.0M adjusted

A Kiss for Baby Ann (No. 3)

Mary Cassatt

Same artist; high-quality pastel with signature intimate subject; indicates demand for top works on paper relative to major oils.

$1.1M

2022, Christie's New York

~$1.2M adjusted

Sketch of "Sara in a Green Bonnet"

Mary Cassatt

Same artist; smaller-scale pastel in day sale context, showing current selectivity and pricing for minor sheets.

$152K

2025, Christie's New York

Reine Lefebvre with Blond Baby and Sara Holding a Cat

Mary Cassatt

Same artist; work on paper sold in 2026 American Art day sale; helpful for gauging baseline demand for Cassatt works outside trophy tier.

$178K

2026, Christie's New York

~$175K adjusted

Après le déjeuner

Berthe Morisot

Cross-artist but highly relevant: a top-tier painting by a fellow Woman Impressionist; indicates market headroom for museum-caliber, canonical works in the category.

$11.0M

2013, Christie's London

~$14.8M adjusted

Current Market Trends

Impressionist/Post‑Impressionist auctions in 2024–25 were selective: aggregate values declined as lot volumes rose, indicating a shift toward lower price points and fewer headline trophies. However, the market remained deep for best-in-class works, with record-setting results in adjacent categories reaffirming the “trophy premium.” In this two-speed context, canonical, museum-grade paintings continue to outperform category averages, while mid-tier material faces price discipline. For Mary Cassatt, this means routine prints and pastels transact steadily, but only a scarce, top-condition oil with an iconic subject is likely to catalyze aggressive bidding and a step-change result.

Disclaimer: This estimate is for informational and educational purposes only. It is based on publicly available data and AI analysis. It should not be used for insurance, tax, estate planning, or sale purposes. For formal appraisals, consult a certified appraiser.